You’ve been reading my newsletters and saying “boy, that Mike Brady knows everything”. That may be true, but it’s good to remember the markets have a mind of their own.
The Euro has rallied against other currencies recently.
Do I think this is a short term rally? Yes. Do I think the Euro and Europe in general still have long term problems? Yes.
Because of competitive imbalances between the members of the European Monetary Union, a British think tank believes the odds are against the Euro surviving as a single currency.
Europe will be big news in the coming years and because of its economic size, it will impact the rest of the world, including the US.
If you’ve been reading my blog for the past 2 years you’ve been hearing me talk about the slow disaster that is Europe and our municipal governments.
We’re now seeing the worst falls in Municipals since Lehman’s collapse back in September 2008. Ouch! I also say that the worst is before us, not behind.
To do: Watch your municipal holdings and know what your exposure is!
Ireland has a bailout (thank you EU and IMF) and now the yields for Portugal, Spain, and Italy are going through the roof.
This does NOT bode well for the rest of the PIIGS, Europe, and the Euro.
To do: What’s your exposure to what I think is the next big collapse?
This is a quarter you’re going to hear about Quantitative Easing.
I hate it.
It’s my belief the increased money supply will stay on the books of the banking industry to offset any potential commercial real estate downgrades they’ll be making in the future.
From the banks’ point of view, it makes perfect sense. For you and me, not so good.
How did QE work in Japan and the UK? Not well at all.