Posts Tagged ‘China’

Who Owns Our Debt

There’s a perception China owns all of the Treasury Bonds, but they actually own less than 10%. The biggest single owner of US Federal Debt is the Federal Reserve Bank. The above graph shows foreign holders of our debt. Who Owns Our Debt   Read More

China Had a Trade Deficit in February

China had its largest trade deficit in 22 years this past February of $31.5 billion. Why? Weaker demand from Europe and the United States is one reason. Factories being temporarily shut down due to Chinese New Year could be another reason. Is this seasonal anomaly or one more bad sign coming out of China? Stay tuned  CLICK FOR FULL ARTICLE   Read More

China’s Inverted Curve

An inverted yield curve in the US has predicted 6 out of 7 worsening economic conditions in our country since 1970. In China, we don’t have the same type of statistics because of their young open economy, but recently their yield curve has “inverted”. I’m watching this and realizing it’s just another of many economic indicators out of China pointing towards a slower economy. I really don’t want much (if any) exposure to the Chinese Stock Market. This also has consequences to the whole global trade market as China is the 2nd largest economy right now. We truly are a ... Read More

2011 Recap and 2012 Outlook – Year End Video

Goodbye 2011 and hello 2012! What happened and what’s my outlook for 2012? Optimistic or pessimistic? Watch my video to find out.   TRANSCRIPT: Hi there, Mike Brady with Generosity Wealth Management, and today I want to talk to you about a little bit of a review on 2011, but spend most of my time talking about the current situation right now. And you know, maybe do a little bit of a, …, thinking about 2012 and what the future may hold. 2011 was a real volatile year. I mean frankly, when we look back at year upon year we ... Read More

3rd Quarter Review / 4th Quarter Review

The 3rd Quarter 2011 is over and I have a slightly longer video this week because I want to address the current environment and how things may shape up going forward. A big theme is my advice to assess your overall plan and risk tolerance, and also to ensure you’re looking at both positive and negative points of view on the markets instead of just one view over the other. I send my newsletter and videos on a weekly basis, so if you watch only a few througout the year, at least watch my more comprehensive quarterly videos. Click to ... Read More

Gold and Chinese Income

Very interesting correlation between Chinese and Indian income levels and the price of gold. Is China and India the reason for Gold’s continued price increase? At least contributing to it if not the cause (remember that correlation does not equate with causation). I think the demand for gold is a factor, which causes me some slight concern due to the bubble that I think China is. India I’m not sure about yet. If the bubble bursts, the demand for and price of gold will decline. Gold and China – Link Read More

China and US similarities before a crash – 2011 06 22

I’ve been talking about the problems with the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain) for over a year now. Greece in particular has been very prominent in the news recently. Has this been a slow train wreck? Yes. Has our investment markets continued to go up during that time frame? Yes. Will our markets continue to go up? That’s always the question, and a harder one to answer. One of the things I’m trying to do is guide you and my clients to that answer, knowing of course the future is unknown. Anyway, this week I discuss what I ... Read More

Technicals on China

Technical trading is forcasting the direction of prices by studying past market data, primarly price and volume. Here is an article that is applying this technique on the Shanghai Composite Index . Doesn’t look good…… LINK TO FULL ARTICLE   Oh, and in case you’re curious or a compliance officer, the Shanghai Composite Index is an index of all stocks (A and B Shares) that are traded at the Shanghai Stock Exchange. It is merely being used as a proxy for the stock makret and cannot be invested in directly.   Read More

Predictions Coming True

If you’ve been reading my blog for the past 2 years you’ve been hearing me talk about the slow disaster that is Europe and our municipal governments. We’re now seeing the worst falls in Municipals since Lehman’s collapse back in September 2008. Ouch! I also say that the worst is before us, not behind. To do: Watch your municipal holdings and know what your exposure is! Ireland has a bailout (thank you EU and IMF) and now the yields for Portugal, Spain, and Italy are going through the roof. This does NOT bode well for the rest of the PIIGS, ... Read More

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