Posts Tagged ‘Bear’

Current Thinking with Uncertainty in the Air

There are few things the stock and bond markets hate more than uncertainty. Currently, part of that uncertainty is the unraveling of the European Monetary Union and the impact that will have on us here in the United States. Since the beginning of the year (see January and April videos in particular) I have been optimistic, but I have to say my enthusiasm for this market is waning. The summer months, historically difficult in themselves, have me concerned with lower GDP numbers, continued unemployment leading to the election, but most importantly concerns about the debt problem in Europe and domestically. ... Read More

3rd Quarter Review / 4th Quarter Review

The 3rd Quarter 2011 is over and I have a slightly longer video this week because I want to address the current environment and how things may shape up going forward. A big theme is my advice to assess your overall plan and risk tolerance, and also to ensure you’re looking at both positive and negative points of view on the markets instead of just one view over the other. I send my newsletter and videos on a weekly basis, so if you watch only a few througout the year, at least watch my more comprehensive quarterly videos. Click to ... Read More

Greek Bond Yields Surge

That might sound good, but what it really means is that the prices are plunging. Stay away from Greece and watch Europe closely. Greek Bond Yields Surge – Link   Read More

Current Market Thoughts

This video covers my current thinking *  There are some BEAR signs in the market I’m concerned about *  What does the market really care about (hint: recession and Europe) *  Why so much volatility last week? *  What should you (or me if I’m your adviser) be doing? *  Dynamic Asset Allocation management coming your way…. If this week is calmer than last week, then I may not do a video 2 or 3 times.  For all our sakes, let’s hope that’s the case! TRANSCRIPT: Hi there, Mike Brady with Generosity Wealth Management, and recording this on a Monday morning, ... Read More

Just When You Thought the Euro Was Out

You’ve been reading my newsletters and saying “boy, that Mike Brady knows everything”. That may be true, but it’s good to remember the markets have a mind of their own. The Euro has rallied against other currencies recently. Do I think this is a short term rally? Yes. Do I think the Euro and Europe in general still have long term problems? Yes. CLICK FOR FULL ARTICLE – JUST WHEN YOU THOUGHT THE EURO WAS OUT Read More

Lessons from The Big Short

Every wondered what the 2008 Financial Crisis was all about? The Big Short by Michael Lewis is a good, gripping book that explains much of it. I highly recommend it. But what are some of the lessons we can take from this crisis as outlined in the book? That’s what this week’s video is about. Take 4 minutes to watch/listen to it.   Read More

2010 Review / 2011 Preview

This week is my annual 2010 review and 2011 preview. I start out by talking about what I got right and wrong from my 2010 preview 12 months ago (you mean I’m accountable?) I then talk about reasons to be bullish countered by reasons to be bearish on 2011. I conclude my video with specific actions I’m taking with my clients. This includes * What I’m doing with my bond exposure * How I’m allocating amongst large cap, mid cap, and small cap * What I’m watching as an indicator of market health * What sector I like for a ... Read More

Is This Your Average Secular Bear?

In my blog I like to present both sides of the argument and then give you which side is more persuasive to me. This article states what I feel, which is that we’re in a long term bear market, but we’ll have years that are good (like 2009 and 2010). Secular bears end when the excesses that caused the prior bull are extinguished. I’m not convinced we’ve addressed the excesses yet.  CLICK FOR FULL ARTICLE – IS THIS YOUR AVERAGE SECULAR BEAR? Read More

Ten Things Making Me Nervous

If you look back at my 3rd Quarter Preview (here) I mentioned I forecast the 3rd quarter would be up. That’s proving to be a great move (if I do say so myself). But what makes me nervous? This article sums up a lot of my feelings. Does that mean I’m bearish for the 4th Quarter? I guess you’ll have to wait until my 4th Quarter preview in a couple of weeks to find out. Click on this link for FULL  ARTICLE   Read More

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