Buffett’s Favorite Valuation Metric

I’m a big fan of Warren Buffett (as many of you know) as I admire his intellect, drive, and humility. There’s a reason he’s in the top 5 richest in the world.

Warren Buffett has a chart that he’s described as his favorite. It’s the total valuation of the stock market versus the Gross National Product of the US.

What is it telling us now? A = Stocks are modestly expensive.

Should you sell everything to cash? A = No. It does, however, tell us to be very cautious going forward and watch the percentage we have allocated to the equity markets.

Do you know what the percentage of your portfolio is exposed? If not, please contact me and I’ll do what I can to help you out.


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The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged, price-weighted index of 30 large capitalization stocks with dividends reinvested.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (“S&P 500”) is an unmanaged, market capitalization weighted index of 500 widely held stocks, with dividends reinvested, and is often used as a proxy for the stock market.

The Nasdaq Composite is an unmanaged, market capitalization weighted index of stocks listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, and are reported as price return without reinvestment of dividends.

Indexes are often used as a proxy for the stock market and cannot be invested in directly.