Archive for the ‘China’ Category

China?

I still owe you a video on China, and how I think it’s going to impact things. It’s tough in that we’ve never had such a large player be so guarded in it’s data. Economists for now are continuing to be optimistic about China, predicting a positive growth for 2015 even though the markets and their currency have gone haywire. More to come next few weeks as I complete my analysis and video on China. Full Article Read More

Oil Impact

“Life is Really Simple–but We Insist on Making it Complicated” – Confucius Over the next couple of weeks I’m going to talk about the reasons given for the market correction 1.  Plunging Oil 2.  China 3.  Disappointing Profits 4.  Trading Milestone (200 Day Moving Average) 5.  Rate Jitters Today I focus on Oil, as it’s declined from approximately $60 in June to $40 today.  What is that indicative of, and is that a long term benefit or detriment for the economy? I say it’s a long term benefit, and make such an argument in my video. Click below Hi there. ... Read More

China?

I’ll speak next week about China, but I’m going to admit right now that the full impact of China on the world economy and markets is unknown.  It’s simply never happened before where China is a big player on the world scene. And they’re not very transparent.  Urgh. But, they’re only responsible for 5% of the S&P 500 revenues, so we’ve got that going for us. More to come next week. Full Article – Three Things I Think I Think Read More

Time Horizon, Plan, Conviction

“I never said it’d be easy-I only said it’d be worth it”–Mae West. That’s what I think about when I think about investments. Yes, the unmanaged stock market indexes are making the news, but the whole reason we have a plan, discuss the time horizon, and determine our conviction is because these events happen. Always have, and always will. History has shown us that those who ignore and then over-react are the ones most hurt. I don’t do that, and I wouldn’t want any of my readers to do that either. For my full thoughts, click below for the video. ... Read More

Why Stocks are Tumbling 6 Years into the Bull Market

The largest weekly decline since 2011, leaving the unmanaged stock market indexes close to “correction” territory. What are the reasons?   China, Oil, Disappointing Profits, 200 Day Moving Average, and Interest Rates. In a follow up video this week, I’ll start to dissect each and give you my opinion about the long term effect of each. I like to look at long term effects, not short term gyrations.  The fluctuations have always been there, and always will be. Full Article: Why Stocks are Tumbling 6 Years into the Bull Market Read More

Bullish to Bearish Indicators

I’ve mentioned all year long that I’m bullish and optimistic for the foreseeable future, and until data tells me something else, that’s where I remain. However, what would change my opinion?  What are the data that I look at, and how would they need to change in order for my opinion to change? Good question, and one I address in this issue’s video: Hi there, Mike Brady with Generosity Wealth Management, a comprehensive full-service wealth management firm headquartered right here in Boulder, Colorado. The main topic for today’s video is that I am optimistic. I am very bullish and have ... Read More

2011 Recap and 2012 Outlook – Year End Video

Goodbye 2011 and hello 2012! What happened and what’s my outlook for 2012? Optimistic or pessimistic? Watch my video to find out.   TRANSCRIPT: Hi there, Mike Brady with Generosity Wealth Management, and today I want to talk to you about a little bit of a review on 2011, but spend most of my time talking about the current situation right now. And you know, maybe do a little bit of a, …, thinking about 2012 and what the future may hold. 2011 was a real volatile year. I mean frankly, when we look back at year upon year we ... Read More

3rd Quarter Review / 4th Quarter Review

The 3rd Quarter 2011 is over and I have a slightly longer video this week because I want to address the current environment and how things may shape up going forward. A big theme is my advice to assess your overall plan and risk tolerance, and also to ensure you’re looking at both positive and negative points of view on the markets instead of just one view over the other. I send my newsletter and videos on a weekly basis, so if you watch only a few througout the year, at least watch my more comprehensive quarterly videos. Click to ... Read More

Gold and Chinese Income

Very interesting correlation between Chinese and Indian income levels and the price of gold. Is China and India the reason for Gold’s continued price increase? At least contributing to it if not the cause (remember that correlation does not equate with causation). I think the demand for gold is a factor, which causes me some slight concern due to the bubble that I think China is. India I’m not sure about yet. If the bubble bursts, the demand for and price of gold will decline. Gold and China – Link Read More

China and US similarities before a crash – 2011 06 22

I’ve been talking about the problems with the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain) for over a year now. Greece in particular has been very prominent in the news recently. Has this been a slow train wreck? Yes. Has our investment markets continued to go up during that time frame? Yes. Will our markets continue to go up? That’s always the question, and a harder one to answer. One of the things I’m trying to do is guide you and my clients to that answer, knowing of course the future is unknown. Anyway, this week I discuss what I ... Read More

Technicals on China

Technical trading is forcasting the direction of prices by studying past market data, primarly price and volume. Here is an article that is applying this technique on the Shanghai Composite Index . Doesn’t look good…… LINK TO FULL ARTICLE   Oh, and in case you’re curious or a compliance officer, the Shanghai Composite Index is an index of all stocks (A and B Shares) that are traded at the Shanghai Stock Exchange. It is merely being used as a proxy for the stock makret and cannot be invested in directly.   Read More

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged, price-weighted index of 30 large capitalization stocks with dividends reinvested.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (“S&P 500”) is an unmanaged, market capitalization weighted index of 500 widely held stocks, with dividends reinvested, and is often used as a proxy for the stock market.

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Indexes are often used as a proxy for the stock market and cannot be invested in directly.