The largest weekly decline since 2011, leaving the unmanaged stock market indexes close to “correction” territory. What are the reasons? China, Oil, Disappointing Profits, 200 Day Moving Average, and Interest Rates. In a follow up video this week, I’ll start to dissect each and give you my opinion about the long term effect of each. I like to look at long term effects, not short term gyrations. The fluctuations have always been there, and always will be. Full Article: Why Stocks are Tumbling 6 Years into the Bull Market Read More
China had its largest trade deficit in 22 years this past February of $31.5 billion. Why? Weaker demand from Europe and the United States is one reason. Factories being temporarily shut down due to Chinese New Year could be another reason. Is this seasonal anomaly or one more bad sign coming out of China? Stay tuned CLICK FOR FULL ARTICLE Read More
An inverted yield curve in the US has predicted 6 out of 7 worsening economic conditions in our country since 1970. In China, we don’t have the same type of statistics because of their young open economy, but recently their yield curve has “inverted”. I’m watching this and realizing it’s just another of many economic indicators out of China pointing towards a slower economy. I really don’t want much (if any) exposure to the Chinese Stock Market. This also has consequences to the whole global trade market as China is the 2nd largest economy right now. We truly are a ... Read More
The 3rd Quarter 2011 is over and I have a slightly longer video this week because I want to address the current environment and how things may shape up going forward. A big theme is my advice to assess your overall plan and risk tolerance, and also to ensure you’re looking at both positive and negative points of view on the markets instead of just one view over the other. I send my newsletter and videos on a weekly basis, so if you watch only a few througout the year, at least watch my more comprehensive quarterly videos. Click to ... Read More
I’ve had a relatively low position in stocks for clients for quite some time, but I’ve decided to lower it even further. I’m quite concerned about the correlation between Europe and the US, emotion/news driven volatility, and the uncertainty about what the Fed will do. The risk just doesn’t warrant having as high a percentage as I’ve had. On the flip side, profitability, efficiency, and cash balances have all been rising in the firms that comprise the S&P 500. Is the return worth the risk? Click on video to hear more. TRANSCRIPT: Hi there, Mike Brady with Generosity Wealth Management, ... Read More
Japan has been in a continued recession for the past 20 years. The deficit levels of the Japan government are among the highest of the developed countries, and expected to increase in the coming years. This is not good news for Japan. As the rating decreases, the extra premium paid to borrow money goes up. So, a 3% cost of borrow might increase to 4%. Anyway, this is something to watch as the United States deficit to GDP is increasing rapidly. CLICK FOR FULL ARTICLE – S&P DOWNGRADES JAPAN FROM AA TO AA- Read More
If you look back at my 3rd Quarter Preview (here) I mentioned I forecast the 3rd quarter would be up. That’s proving to be a great move (if I do say so myself). But what makes me nervous? This article sums up a lot of my feelings. Does that mean I’m bearish for the 4th Quarter? I guess you’ll have to wait until my 4th Quarter preview in a couple of weeks to find out. Click on this link for FULL ARTICLE Read More
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged, price-weighted index of 30 large capitalization stocks with dividends reinvested.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (“S&P 500”) is an unmanaged, market capitalization weighted index of 500 widely held stocks, with dividends reinvested, and is often used as a proxy for the stock market.
The Nasdaq Composite is an unmanaged, market capitalization weighted index of stocks listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, and are reported as price return without reinvestment of dividends.
Indexes are often used as a proxy for the stock market and cannot be invested in directly.